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View poll results: Who would win a federal election if one was held in 6 weeks time?
The Coalition would win control of the lower house 5 7.81%
Labor would win control of the lower house 26 40.62%
A Minor Party would win control of the lower house 2 3.12%
The Coalition would win control of the Senate 7 10.94%
Labor would win control of the Senate 15 23.44%
Independents would retain control of the Senate 9 14.06%
Voters: 64
   
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Who would win a federal election if one was held in 6 weeks time?
Virtuoso 
4/9/08 10:54:21 PM
SuperHero
Resident alien


The Opposition is blocking many budget measures. That's serious stuff. If they keep doing it, they'll give the Federal Government the opportunity - perhaps even, necessity - to call a snap 'souble dissolution' election.

So, if a federal election if one was held in, say, 6 weeks time, who do you think would win, and why...?

Votes and explanatory comments encouraged, thanks. Note that you can place multiple votes, to repesent the outcomes in the Lower House and the Senate.

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I came. I saw. I did not concur.

Kustard 
4/9/08 10:57:31 PM
Champion

I don't really want to vote again any time soon especially seeing all our tax money being spent on election advertising!

But if it did happen, shock horror, I think it would pretty much stay how it is but the government would have to be more convincing.

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Smooth, creamy and yellow...

*A Trifle ugly*


Virtuoso 
4/9/08 10:58:53 PM
SuperHero
Resident alien


I wonder, if Turnbull suddenly deposed Nelson, or Costello suddenly deposed Nelson, whether that would change the election outcome...?

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I came. I saw. I did not concur.

Meeko 
4/9/08 11:00:23 PM
Titan

Rudd has disappointed.

For some reason, people have recently been voting for the same parties in both houses of Parliament.

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Kustard 
4/9/08 11:02:29 PM
Champion

Costello, maybe... Turnbull... if he spent a whole lot more on bribe money. Nelson, well that man couldn't get things right as a portfolio holder minister and was a major reason for the coalitions loss. If I were the nationals I wouldn't be joining forces with the Liberals ATM...


Maybe the Australian Pop are expecting Rudd to grow too much from a big pile of mess left from the previous gov't Meeko!


Edited by Kustard: 4/9/2008 11:04:02 PM

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Smooth, creamy and yellow...

*A Trifle ugly*


Oracle X 
4/9/08 11:03:06 PM
Guru

Still Labor imo. People are disappointed with Rudd sure, but he's still seen as a better choice as the libs.


Edited by Oracle X: 4/9/2008 11:04:22 PM

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"You don't have to rely on other people if you never miss."

BeDLaM#29 
4/9/08 11:06:12 PM
Hero
Titan


Labor would trounce the Libs by even more than they did last time.

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       ---***Tag line deleted to protect the innocent***---

Mordain 
4/9/08 11:09:26 PM
Guru

Depends, if Costello suddenly became leader of the liberals then they would win hopefully. I'd like to thank labor for fucking up the economy in record time! who needs a strong aussie dollar when you can focus on flag-waving hippy-happy social issues.


Bah

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Despite what I might tell you, I'm not a doctor. Yet.

Kustard 
4/9/08 11:10:52 PM
Champion

Quote by Mordain
Depends, if Costello suddenly became leader of the liberals then they would win hopefully. I'd like to thank labor for fucking up the economy in record time! who needs a strong aussie dollar when you can focus on flag-waving hippy-happy social issues.


Bah



Sad when all our decisions are based solely on money and the economy...

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Smooth, creamy and yellow...

*A Trifle ugly*


Leonid 
4/9/08 11:27:33 PM
Immortal

My hope is independents would retain control with a Liberal majority of the two larger parties in the Senate.

Sadly, I'm afraid that with Nelson at the wheel, the Liberals would suffer and the Nats would disappear.

Costello needs to be brought back. Then I reckon we'll see an equalisation.

However, I do not see Rudd leaving his Emperor's palace just yet. He's given too many people, too many populist measures and it's a very slow process for people to realise that in reality, besides new taxes, he's delivered nothing of note in 10 months that's not grounded in flag-waving tokenism.

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"Unless we announce disasters no one will listen"

--Sir John Houghton, first chairman of IPCC

Disco 
4/9/08 11:33:32 PM
Champion

Quote by Mordain
Depends, if Costello suddenly became leader of the liberals then they would win hopefully. I'd like to thank labor for fucking up the economy in record time! who needs a strong aussie dollar when you can focus on flag-waving hippy-happy social issues.


Bah


How exactly has this government done that?

The record inflation from an expansionist happy 10 years of Liberal gov't?

By making idiots in the US buy low grade loans which subsequently go bankrupt?

By forcing OPEC to push oil prices through the roof?

Seriously, get a clue.

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Why don't you give me some love, I've taken shitloads of drugs, I'm so tired of never fixing the pain. Valium said to me I'll take you seriously, and we'll come back as someone else.

battlefield_gir 
4/9/08 11:36:30 PM
Titan

Quote by Leonid
My hope is independents would retain control with a Liberal majority of the two larger parties in the Senate.

Sadly, I'm afraid that with Nelson at the wheel, the Liberals would suffer and the Nats would disappear.

Costello needs to be brought back. Then I reckon we'll see an equalisation.

However, I do not see Rudd leaving his Emperor's palace just yet. He's given too many people, too many populist measures and it's a very slow process for people to realise that in reality, besides new taxes, he's delivered nothing of note in 10 months that's not grounded in flag-waving tokenism.



^^ this

my thoughts exactly

/ hi fives sydney lib brothas

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Minister for Education, Innovation, Science & Research.


R.I.P Josh Woods

Goth: Am I the only one who somehow swam through the wall of the vagina and got lost/stuck inside




"There is no probl

Rybags 
4/9/08 11:38:29 PM
Hero
Immortal


Rudd has been making irresponsible tax increases to back up his irresponsible tax cuts which he used to buy the election victory.

If he calls an election and loses, then he's simply getting his just deserts.

If he had half a brain, he'd have realised that $57,000 is hardly luxury car territory any more and raised the cut-in point to about $75K or so.

Chances are, it would have gone through unopposed. Having said that, there's also no reason that any Liberal or Independant Senator couldn't have suggested a higher threshold as an amendment.

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Quote by Bear Grylls

Awww... it tastes like an... explosion of brain, guts and pus!

Mac Dude 
4/9/08 11:43:11 PM
Mod
SuperHero

Immortal


i think both major parties have been disappointing since the election, so I'd go for the same result but minor parties/independents with more seats.

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I'm Busy Now
Can I ignore you some other time?

Rybags 
4/9/08 11:46:20 PM
Hero
Immortal


Regardless of the result, I think a backlash against Labor would occur.

Calling an election less than a year into the job is just childish, and if anything, they'd end up with less seats.

Also, I think a lot of people are getting worried about Kevins Karbon Tax. My personal feeling is that it will do little to nothing for the environment or advancement of alternative energy, but hurt the consumer.

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Quote by Bear Grylls

Awww... it tastes like an... explosion of brain, guts and pus!

scruffy1 
4/9/08 11:52:54 PM
Overlord

Quote by Rybags
If he had half a brain, he'd have realised that $57,000 is hardly luxury car territory any more and raised the cut-in point to about $75K or so.



i vote for more self interest and certainly more whining about paying more for a device to burn more hydrocarbons; my vote doesn't swing on such minor problems

as they say "no matter who you vote for, you get a politician"

i'd vote for any party who had as their platform the agenda to abolish the states and federalise, as australia must be the most overgoverned (and with poor stewardship at that) countries in the known universe

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opteron 165 ccbbe @ 2680 1.3625v / thermalright si120 / 2x1gig ocz platinums 2-3-2-5 1T / asus a8n32-sli / antec sonata and earthwatts 500w / palit 9600gt 512mb / 2405fpw

Leonid 
4/9/08 11:59:33 PM
Immortal

Quote by scruffy1
i'd vote for any party who had as their platform the agenda to abolish the states and federalise, as australia must be the most overgoverned (and with poor stewardship at that) countries in the known universe



Have my babies

+eleventytrillion

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"Unless we announce disasters no one will listen"

--Sir John Houghton, first chairman of IPCC

Kimmo 
5/9/08 1:05:44 AM
Hero
Immortal


Quote by Mac Dude
i think both major parties have been disappointing since the election, so I'd go for the same result but minor parties/independents with more seats.

This.

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http://www.youtube.com/profile_play_list?user=Mothdust666

spielentwickler 
5/9/08 1:09:29 AM
Guru

Quote by Mordain
Depends, if Costello suddenly became leader of the liberals then they would win hopefully. I'd like to thank labor for fucking up the economy in record time! who needs a strong aussie dollar when you can focus on flag-waving hippy-happy social issues.


Bah



Strong Aussie dollar isn't the only measure of a strong economy. In fact, a strong dollar has negative effects too.

Social issues, like education and health, are just as important to a well functioning country.

The biggest problem in the last decade has been this idea that the only measure of a good government is the economy. But there's a whole range of issues that the federal government are responsible for, and ignoring some of them to try to make one strong is a mistake.

(I do realise education is largely a state issue, however I believe there are some aspects which should be federally controlled.)




Edited by spielentwickler: 5/9/2008 1:10:40 AM

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http://www.last.fm/user/spielentwickler/

freck 
5/9/08 1:49:18 AM
Titan

Atomicmpc's Green Room is the closest thing I have to a neutral political thermometer of the electoral mood back home, once Virt & Leonid's views have been discounted.

I don't even monitor Oz based news sources these days so it's always amusing to see what's going on here with the political newsbot-trolling.

I therefore predict that this thread shall be be full of disturbingly delightful win for me.

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Once upon a time...

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